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China Energy &. Environmental Policy Analysis Model (CEEPA)
aims to perform thorough and elaborate analysis of related
energy/environmental policy adjustments or reforms.
The core of CEEPA is a recursive dynamic
computable general equilibrium model. In CEEPA, sixteen
sectors were considered (i.e. Agriculture, Iron and Steel
industry, Building Materials industry, Chemical industry,
Non-ferrous Metals industry, Other Heavy industries, Paper
industry, Other Light industries, Construction´´
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China
Energy Demand Analysis System is designed for mid- and
long-term scenario analysis of energy requirements and CO2
emissions to support policymakers, planners and others
strategically plan for energy demands and environmental
protection in China. In the system, major drivers of energy
consumption are identified as technology, population,
economy and urbanization; scenarios are based on the major
driving forces that represent various growth paths. In CEDAS
China is divided into eight economic regions, and the
multi-regional input-output approach is employed to compute
energy requirements and CO2 emissions under each
scenario. |
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This
software, OPFor (Oil Price Forecast) system, is developed
mainly for oil price prediction including long term and
short term.
For long term prediction, it bases on a special forecasting
model for future oil price. The model applies pattern
matching technique to multi-step prediction of crude oil
prices and proposes a new approach: generalized pattern
matching based on genetic algorithm (GPMGA), which can be
used to forecast future crude oil price based on historical
observations. This software can automatically detect the
most similar pattern in contemporary crude oil prices from
the historical data. Based on the similar historical
pattern, a multi-step prediction of future crude oil prices
can be figured out. In GPMGA modeling process, the
traditional pattern matching is not directly employed.
Historical data is transformed to larger or smaller ´´ |
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